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p(Doom)1

Frontier AI Labs

Real-world frontier AI laboratories and hypothetical future entities used in p(Doom)1 modeling. These organizations represent the cutting edge of AI development and are central to AI Safety considerations.

7
Total Frontier Labs in Model

Real-World Labs

OpenAI

Active

Creator of GPT-4, ChatGPT, and DALL-E. Leading research in large language models and multimodal AI with a stated mission to ensure AGI benefits all of humanity.

Founded 2015
Notable Models GPT-4, o1
Compute Very High
Safety Focus High
Visit OpenAI →

Anthropic

Active

Developers of Claude AI with strong focus on Constitutional AI and AI safety research. Founded by former OpenAI researchers with emphasis on alignment.

Founded 2021
Notable Models Claude 3.5
Compute High
Safety Focus Very High
Visit Anthropic →

DeepMind (Google)

Active

Pioneers in reinforcement learning and game-playing AI (AlphaGo, AlphaFold). Now merged with Google Brain, working on Gemini and foundational AI research.

Founded 2010
Notable Models Gemini, AlphaFold
Compute Very High
Safety Focus High
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Meta AI (FAIR)

Active

Facebook AI Research developing Llama models with open-source approach. Focus on computer vision, NLP, and multimodal research.

Founded 2013
Notable Models Llama 3
Compute Very High
Safety Focus Medium
Visit Meta AI →

xAI

Active

Founded by Elon Musk to develop AI that is "maximally truth-seeking". Creator of Grok AI assistant with emphasis on reducing political correctness.

Founded 2023
Notable Models Grok
Compute High
Safety Focus Medium
Visit xAI →

Mistral AI

Active

European AI startup focused on open-source models and efficient architectures. Rapidly growing with strong technical team and investor backing.

Founded 2023
Notable Models Mistral Large
Compute Medium-High
Safety Focus Medium
Visit Mistral →

Hypothetical Future Lab

Used in p(Doom)1 modeling to represent potential future entrants to frontier AI development. Based on AI-2027 scenario planning and extrapolation of current trends.

AI-2027 Entrant

Hypothetical

Represents a hypothetical well-resourced lab entering the frontier AI space by 2027. Could be state-backed (China, EU), a tech giant entering late (Apple, Amazon), or a well-funded startup. Used in game modeling to test scenarios where the competitive landscape shifts.

Scenario Year 2027
Model Type Hypothetical
Compute High (Projected)
Safety Focus Unknown

Modeling Note: This entity is used to test game scenarios where new entrants with significant resources enter the frontier AI race, potentially disrupting existing safety norms or accelerating capability advances.

Why These Labs Matter

These organizations are developing the most advanced AI systems on Earth. Their decisions about safety, openness, and deployment directly impact global AI risk levels - the core mechanic of p(Doom)1.

In the game, you manage a lab competing in this ecosystem, making strategic choices about:

Learn more about real AI Safety considerations at Stampy.ai or explore our AI Safety Resources.