📢

Elicitation for Modeling Transformative AI Risks

📅 2021
public awareness
🔵 Rare
#ai

📖 Description

*This post is part 8 in our sequence on Modeling Transformative AI Risk. We are building a model to understand debates around existential risks from advanced AI. The model is made with Analytica software, and consists of nodes (representing key hypotheses and cruxes) and edges (representing the relationships between these cruxes), with final output corresponding to the likelihood of various potential failure scenarios. You can read more about the motivation for our project and how the model works in the Introduction post. Unlike other posts in the sequence, this discusses the related but distinct work around Elicitation.*

📊 Game Impacts

Variable Change Condition
Research +10 Always
Vibey Doom +5 Always
Ethics Risk -5 Always

💭 Reactions

🔬 Safety Researcher Reaction: ⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"This is a significant contribution to alignment research"
📰 Media Reaction: ⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"Discussed in AI safety community"
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🔗 Sources

🏷️ Event Metadata

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⭐ Rarity 🔵 Rare → Suggest different rarity
🏷️ Tags (1) ai → Suggest tag changes
📊 Game Impacts (3) 3 variable changes → Suggest impact changes
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