📢

Review of Soft Takeoff Can Still Lead to DSA

📅 2021
public awareness
🔵 Rare
#ai #ai takeoff #lesswrong review

📖 Description

A few months after writing [this post](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PKy8NuNPknenkDY74/soft-takeoff-can-still-lead-to-decisive-strategic-advantage) I realized that one of the key arguments was importantly flawed. I therefore recommend against inclusion in the 2019 review. This post presents an improved version of the original argument, explains the flaw, and then updates my all-things-considered view accordingly.

📊 Game Impacts

Variable Change Condition
Research +10 Always
Vibey Doom +5 Always
Ethics Risk -5 Always

💭 Reactions

🔬 Safety Researcher Reaction: ⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"Important work advancing our understanding of AI safety"
📰 Media Reaction: ⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"Discussed in AI safety community"
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🔗 Sources

🏷️ Event Metadata

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📁 Category Public Awareness → Suggest different category
⭐ Rarity 🔵 Rare → Suggest different rarity
🏷️ Tags (3) ai, ai takeoff, lesswrong review → Suggest tag changes
📊 Game Impacts (3) 3 variable changes → Suggest impact changes
☢️ p(Doom) Impact No direct impact → Suggest p(doom) change
📝 General Metadata Year, description, reactions → Comprehensive review

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