Without specific countermeasures, the easiest path to transformative AI likely leads to AI takeover
📖 Description
I think that [in the coming 15-30 years](https://www.cold-takes.com/where-ai-forecasting-stands-today/), the world could plausibly develop "transformative AI": AI powerful enough to bring us into a new, qualitatively different future, via [an explosion in science and technology R&D](https://www.cold-takes.com/transformative-ai-timelines-part-1-of-4-what-kind-of-ai/#explosive-scientific-and-technological-advancement). This sort of AI [could](https://www.cold-takes.com/transformative-ai-timelines-part-1-of-4-what-kind-of-ai/#impacts-of-pasta) be sufficient to make this the [most important century of all time for humanity](https://www.cold-takes.com/roadmap-for-the-most-important-century-series/).
📊 Game Impacts
| Variable | Change | Condition |
|---|---|---|
| Research | +10 | Always |
| Vibey Doom | +5 | Always |
| Ethics Risk | -5 | Always |
💭 Reactions
"Critical insights for the field"
"Discussed in AI safety community"
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