📢

Bayesianism versus conservatism versus Goodhart

📅 2021
public awareness
⚪ Common
#ai #goodhart's law

📖 Description

Key argument: if we use a non-Bayesian conservative approach, such as a minimum over different utility functions, then we better have a good reason as to why that would work. But if we have that reason, we can use it to make the whole thing into a Bayesian mix, which can also allow us to trade off that advantage against other possible gains.

📊 Game Impacts

Variable Change Condition
Research +10 Always
Vibey Doom +2 Always
Ethics Risk -5 Always

💭 Reactions

🔬 Safety Researcher Reaction: ⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"Adds to our knowledge base"
📰 Media Reaction: ⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"Discussed in AI safety community"
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🔗 Sources

🏷️ Event Metadata

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⭐ Rarity ⚪ Common → Suggest different rarity
🏷️ Tags (2) ai, goodhart's law → Suggest tag changes
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