📢

Prediction can be Outer Aligned at Optimum

📅 2021
public awareness
🔵 Rare
#ai #outer alignment #solomonoff induction

📖 Description

This post argues that many prediction tasks are *outer aligned at optimum*. In particular, I think that the malignity of the universal prior should be treated as an inner alignment problem rather than an outer alignment problem. The main argument is entirely in the first section; treat the rest as appendices.

📊 Game Impacts

Variable Change Condition
Research +10 Always
Vibey Doom +5 Always
Ethics Risk -5 Always

💭 Reactions

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"Critical insights for the field"
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"Discussed in AI safety community"
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🔗 Sources

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