A simple example of conditional orthogonality in finite factored sets
📖 Description
Recently, MIRI researcher Scott Garrabrant has [publicized his work on finite factored sets](https://www.lesswrong.com/s/kxs3eeEti9ouwWFzr/p/N5Jm6Nj4HkNKySA5Z). It allegedly offers a way to understand agency and causality in a set-up like the [causal graphs championed by Judea Pearl](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Causal_graph). Unfortunately, the [definition of conditional orthogonality](https://www.lesswrong.com/s/kxs3eeEti9ouwWFzr/p/N5Jm6Nj4HkNKySA5Z#2b__Conditional_Orthogonality) is very confusing. I'm not aware of any public examples of people demonstrating that they understand it, but I didn't really understand it until an hour ago, and I've heard others say that it went above their heads. So, I'd like to give an example of it here.
📊 Game Impacts
| Variable | Change | Condition |
|---|---|---|
| Research | +10 | Always |
| Vibey Doom | +2 | Always |
| Ethics Risk | -5 | Always |
💭 Reactions
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