📢

Competition: Amplify Rohin's Prediction on AGI researchers & Safety Concerns

📅 2020
public awareness
🔵 Rare
#ai #bounties (closed) #forecasting & prediction #rationality

📖 Description

*EDIT: The competition is now closed, thanks to everyone who participated! Rohin's posterior distribution is [here](https://elicit.ought.org/builder/rBxYYzM-f), and winners are in [this comment](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Azqmzp5JoXJihMcr4/competition-amplify-rohin-s-prediction-on-agi-researchers?commentId=sSDa4D75mhndJjy7t).*

📊 Game Impacts

Variable Change Condition
Research +5 Always
Vibey Doom +5 Always
Ethics Risk -5 Always

💭 Reactions

🔬 Safety Researcher Reaction: ⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"This is a significant contribution to alignment research"
📰 Media Reaction: ⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"Discussed in AI safety community"
💡 Found a Real Quote? Suggest it here

🔗 Sources

🏷️ Event Metadata

Think this event's metadata could be improved? Suggest changes to category, rarity, tags, game impacts, or p(doom) effects.

📁 Category Public Awareness → Suggest different category
⭐ Rarity 🔵 Rare → Suggest different rarity
🏷️ Tags (4) ai, bounties (closed), forecasting & prediction, rationality → Suggest tag changes
📊 Game Impacts (3) 3 variable changes → Suggest impact changes
☢️ p(Doom) Impact No direct impact → Suggest p(doom) change
📝 General Metadata Year, description, reactions → Comprehensive review

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