Modelling Continuous Progress
📖 Description
I [have previously argued](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/5WECpYABCT62TJrhY/will-ai-undergo-discontinuous-progress) for two claims about AI takeoff speeds. First, almost everyone agrees that if we had AGI, progress would be very fast. Second, the major disagreement is between those who think progress will be discontinuous and sudden (such as Eliezer Yudkowsky, MIRI) and those who think progress will be very fast by normal historical standards but continuous (Paul Chrisiano, Robin Hanson).
📊 Game Impacts
| Variable | Change | Condition |
|---|---|---|
| Research | +10 | Always |
| Vibey Doom | +5 | Always |
| Ethics Risk | -5 | Always |
💭 Reactions
🔬 Safety Researcher Reaction:
⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"Important work advancing our understanding of AI safety"
"Important work advancing our understanding of AI safety"
📰 Media Reaction:
⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"Discussed in AI safety community"
💡 Found a Real Quote? Suggest it here
"Discussed in AI safety community"
🤝 Found an Issue?
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GitHub Issue (Preferred) 📧 Email (No GitHub)