📢

My current framework for thinking about AGI timelines

📅 2020
public awareness
⚪ Common
#ai #ai takeoff #ai timelines #crucial considerations

📖 Description

At the beginning of 2017, someone I deeply trusted said they thought AGI would come in 10 years, with 50% probability.

📊 Game Impacts

Variable Change Condition
Research +5 Always
Vibey Doom +2 Always
Ethics Risk -5 Always

💭 Reactions

🔬 Safety Researcher Reaction: ⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"Useful research for the community"
📰 Media Reaction: ⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"Discussed in AI safety community"
💡 Found a Real Quote? Suggest it here

🔗 Sources

🏷️ Event Metadata

Think this event's metadata could be improved? Category and tags describe the real-world event and are maintained in pdoom-data. Rarity, game impacts and p(doom) effects are game-mechanical values owned by pdoom1. Each link below goes to the repository that decides that field.

📁 Category Public Awareness → Suggest different category
⭐ Rarity ⚪ Common → Suggest different rarity
🏷️ Tags (4) ai, ai takeoff, ai timelines, crucial considerations → Suggest tag changes
📊 Game Impacts (3) 3 variable changes → Suggest impact changes
☢️ p(Doom) Impact No direct impact → Suggest p(doom) change
📝 General Metadata Year, description, reactions → Comprehensive review

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