📜

Christiano, Cotra, and Yudkowsky on AI progress

📅 2021
policy development
🔵 Rare
#ai #ai takeoff #ai timelines #forecasting & prediction #inside/outside view #technological forecasting

📖 Description

This post is a transcript of a discussion between Paul Christiano, Ajeya Cotra, and Eliezer Yudkowsky on AGI forecasting, following up on Paul and Eliezer's ["Takeoff Speeds" discussion](https://www.lesswrong.com/s/n945eovrA3oDueqtq/p/vwLxd6hhFvPbvKmBH).

📊 Game Impacts

Variable Change Condition
Research +5 Always
Vibey Doom +5 Always
Ethics Risk -5 Always

💭 Reactions

🔬 Safety Researcher Reaction: ⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"This is a significant contribution to alignment research"
📰 Media Reaction: ⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"Discussed in AI safety community"
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🔗 Sources

🏷️ Event Metadata

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📁 Category Policy Development → Suggest different category
⭐ Rarity 🔵 Rare → Suggest different rarity
🏷️ Tags (6) ai, ai takeoff, ai timelines, forecasting & prediction, inside/outside view, technological forecasting → Suggest tag changes
📊 Game Impacts (3) 3 variable changes → Suggest impact changes
☢️ p(Doom) Impact No direct impact → Suggest p(doom) change
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