📢

Learning the prior

📅 2020
public awareness
⚪ Common
#ai #priors #rationality

📖 Description

Suppose that I have a dataset D of observed (*x*, *y*) pairs, and I'm interested in predicting the label *y*\* for each point *x*\* in some new set D\*. Perhaps D is a set of forecasts from the last few years, and D\* is a set of questions about the coming years that are important for planning.

📊 Game Impacts

Variable Change Condition
Research +10 Always
Vibey Doom +2 Always
Ethics Risk -5 Always

💭 Reactions

🔬 Safety Researcher Reaction: ⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"Useful research for the community"
📰 Media Reaction: ⚠️ Placeholder - Needs Real Quote
"Discussed in AI safety community"
💡 Found a Real Quote? Suggest it here

🔗 Sources

🏷️ Event Metadata

Think this event's metadata could be improved? Suggest changes to category, rarity, tags, game impacts, or p(doom) effects.

📁 Category Public Awareness → Suggest different category
⭐ Rarity ⚪ Common → Suggest different rarity
🏷️ Tags (3) ai, priors, rationality → Suggest tag changes
📊 Game Impacts (3) 3 variable changes → Suggest impact changes
☢️ p(Doom) Impact No direct impact → Suggest p(doom) change
📝 General Metadata Year, description, reactions → Comprehensive review

🤝 Found an Issue?

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